Prediction market & opinion trading development

Build a prediction market app people trade on every day

Opinion trading platforms like Probo, Kalshi and Polymarket, built end to end by a senior team in India: matching engine, wallet, KYC, settlement and native apps. Real-money builds for licensed operators, free-to-play builds for everywhere else.

8 weeks
to a launch MVP
3 apps
iOS, Android, web
100%
code ownership
Markets Live

Will India win the 3rd ODI?

62%chance · Vol $18.4k
Shares
10
Cost$6.20
Payout if Yes$10.00

Demo UI · not a live market

CricketFootballCrypto pricesStock indicesInterest ratesWeatherBox officeTech launchesEsportsAward showsInflation printsF1CricketFootballCrypto pricesStock indicesInterest ratesWeatherBox officeTech launchesEsportsAward showsInflation printsF1
What we build

Three platforms, one proven core

Every build shares the same battle-tested engine: order matching, a double-entry wallet ledger and market settlement. You pick the experience on top.

Probo / Kalshi style

Opinion trading platform

Yes/No contracts on sports, finance, weather and news. Users buy and sell shares while the price moves with the crowd, and winning shares settle at a fixed payout.

  • Central limit order book
  • Instant exit before settlement
  • Fiat wallet, UPI / cards / ACH
Polymarket style

On-chain prediction market

Stablecoin markets with wallet login, on-chain settlement and an off-chain matching engine for speed. Built for crypto-native audiences and licensed jurisdictions.

  • USDC on Polygon / Base
  • Hybrid CLOB or LMSR market maker
  • Oracle-based resolution
Free-to-play

Prediction & quiz app

The same trading experience with points instead of money. Leaderboards, streaks, sponsor prizes and ads. The model that stays legal in India after the 2025 Online Gaming Act.

  • Points, coins and leaderboards
  • Brand-sponsored contests
  • Ads and subscription revenue
Features

Everything a trading platform needs on day one

The hard parts are the invisible ones. We build those first and make them boring and reliable.

Order matching engine

Price-time priority matching in memory, persisted to an event log. Handles match-day spikes without double fills, and supports limit orders, market orders and instant exits.

64¢1200
63¢860
62¢430
spread 1¢
61¢520
60¢940
59¢1500

Real-time prices

WebSocket push to every device, so prices, volume and positions update the moment a trade fills.

Wallet & ledger

Double-entry ledger with UPI, cards, ACH or USDC rails. Every rupee or cent reconciles.

KYC / AML

Identity, liveness and sanctions checks wired into onboarding and withdrawals.

Settlement & resolution

Resolve by admin, trusted data feed or oracle. Payouts run automatically with a dispute window.

Admin & risk console

Create markets, set limits, watch exposure per market and freeze suspicious accounts.

Geo-fencing

Show only the markets each user is allowed to trade, by country or state.

Built for match-day traffic

Load-tested against simulated final-over spikes before launch, with autoscaling and per-market circuit breakers.

Node.jsGoReact NativeFlutterNext.jsPostgreSQLRedisKafkaWebSocketsSolidityAWSKubernetes
Architecture

How the platform fits together

An event-sourced core keeps the order book, wallets and settlement in agreement, even when something fails mid-trade.

Apps
iOS & Android
Web app
Admin console
Edge
API gateway
WebSocket push
Rate limits & geo-fence
Core
Matching engine
Wallet ledger
Market & settlement
Data
PostgreSQL
Redis
Kafka event log
Compliance by design

We only build what can stay live

Prediction markets are regulated differently in every country. We build the controls in from the first sprint and work alongside your licensing and legal advisors, so launch day is not the day you find a gap.

Building for India?

Real-money online games, including opinion trading, are banned under the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025. For Indian audiences we build free-to-play prediction and quiz apps that earn from sponsors, ads and subscriptions. We do not build colour prediction, casino or unlicensed real-money apps.

Geo-fencing

IP, GPS and payment-country checks so each market only opens where it is licensed.

KYC / AML

Document and liveness checks through providers like Sumsub, Onfido or Persona, plus watchlist screening.

Audit trail

Every order, fill, wallet movement and settlement is written to an append-only log your regulator can inspect.

Responsible play

Deposit limits, cool-off periods, self-exclusion and age gates built into the account, not bolted on.

Engagement

Fixed scope, fixed price, clear timeline

Pick a starting point. After a 30-minute scoping call you get a fixed-price quote, and you own all of the code.

Launch MVP

8 to 10 weeks

One app, one market type, order book, wallet, KYC and admin settlement. Enough to launch and learn.

  • Web + Android or iOS
  • Yes/No markets
  • Manual settlement
  • Basic risk dashboard
Get a quote

Full platform

14 to 20 weeks

Everything in the MVP plus native apps, automated resolution, referral engine and deeper risk tooling.

  • iOS + Android + web
  • Oracle / API resolution
  • Market-maker tooling
  • Referrals & promos
Get a quote

Free-to-play

6 to 8 weeks

Points-based prediction or quiz app with leaderboards and sponsor contests. No wallet, no licence needed.

  • Points & streaks
  • Leaderboards
  • Sponsor campaigns
  • Ad monetisation
Get a quote
Process

From idea to live markets

  1. 01

    Scoping call

    Market type, target countries, licence status and must-have features. You get a fixed-price quote.

  2. 02

    Product design

    Clickable prototype of the trading flow, wallet and admin console in about two weeks.

  3. 03

    Core build

    Matching engine, ledger and settlement first, then the apps on top. Weekly demos.

  4. 04

    Load & security testing

    Simulated match-day traffic, ledger reconciliation and a third-party security review.

  5. 05

    Launch & scale

    App store submission, monitoring, on-call support and new market types after go-live.

FAQ

Questions founders ask us

What is an opinion trading or prediction market app?

It is a platform where users buy Yes or No shares on the outcome of a future event, such as a cricket match or an interest-rate decision. The share price moves between 0 and 1 (or 0 and 10) based on demand, and winning shares pay out a fixed amount when the event settles. Probo, Kalshi and Polymarket are well-known examples.

Can you build an app like Probo, Kalshi or Polymarket?

Yes. We build the full stack: order matching engine, wallet and ledger, KYC, market creation and settlement, admin console and native apps. We do not copy any company's code or branding. You get an original product that you fully own.

Is opinion trading legal in India?

Real-money opinion trading is no longer allowed in India. The Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 bans online money games, their advertising and payment processing for them. For the Indian market we build free-to-play prediction and quiz apps, which the Act permits. Real-money builds are for clients licensed in other jurisdictions.

Do you build colour prediction or casino apps?

No. We do not build colour prediction games, casino games or any real-money product for an unlicensed operator. Every real-money build starts with a licence check.

How long does it take to build a prediction market app?

A launch MVP takes about 8 to 10 weeks. A full platform with native iOS and Android apps, automated resolution and market-maker tooling takes about 14 to 20 weeks. A free-to-play version takes about 6 to 8 weeks.

Order book or automated market maker: which should I use?

An order book (CLOB) gives the best prices once you have active traders, and it is what Kalshi and Polymarket use. An automated market maker such as LMSR always quotes a price, which helps new markets with thin liquidity. Many platforms launch with a market maker and add an order book as volume grows. We can build either or both.

Who owns the code?

You do. You get the full source code, infrastructure scripts and documentation, with no licence fees to us.

Want to go deeper? Read our guides on building prediction markets.

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